Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 3.440565 3.855376 4.304998 4.829297 5.424815 6.081261 6.861136
2024-10-06 2.970629 3.550253 4.224380 5.069341 6.104300 7.335959 8.920609
2024-10-13 2.561532 3.212690 4.011305 5.069002 6.442237 8.177250 10.555023
2024-10-20 2.249444 2.933179 3.808584 5.021417 6.673619 8.867848 12.039336
2024-10-27 1.925696 2.591896 3.475380 4.745729 6.546812 9.040803 12.811484
2024-11-03 1.760468 2.439645 3.370065 4.754919 6.793146 9.728889 14.361468
2024-11-10 1.656968 2.358986 3.350099 4.873624 7.196101 10.668199 16.375200
2024-11-17 1.544265 2.252263 3.279216 4.904478 7.462371 11.418856 18.170936
2024-11-24 1.445686 2.156021 3.212480 4.930371 7.715992 12.165023 20.032823
2024-12-01 1.357755 2.067316 3.147555 4.949312 7.954270 12.901525 21.952450
2024-12-08 1.250143 1.938802 3.009205 4.835526 7.959300 13.244870 23.217145
2024-12-15 1.172556 1.851345 2.928000 4.806300 8.099801 13.825500 24.964269
2024-12-22 1.098305 1.765558 2.845694 4.772861 8.238277 14.431362 26.863726
2024-12-29 1.076724 1.764929 2.903919 4.986533 8.836400 15.928971 30.671678
2025-01-05 1.017907 1.696739 2.841877 4.980677 9.030636 16.692904 33.115472
2025-01-12 0.957562 1.621288 2.761083 4.932703 9.138921 17.299384 35.306773
2025-01-19 0.867849 1.488174 2.569013 4.662071 8.792045 16.972117 35.463142
2025-01-26 0.827893 1.440831 2.527057 4.671013 8.994713 17.770222 38.182540
2025-02-02 0.806215 1.424854 2.540696 4.787393 9.423149 19.077223 42.223552
2025-02-09 0.774295 1.387727 2.512118 4.817641 9.675792 20.035948 45.582598
2025-02-16 0.744017 1.351565 2.482601 4.843029 9.919514 20.998937 49.082431
2025-02-23 0.714992 1.315821 2.451230 4.861600 10.149370 21.953539 52.693141
2025-03-02 0.672852 1.252145 2.361040 4.750031 10.081582 22.219062 54.579739